A "silent" voter bloc is swinging Republicans to victory

When President Nixon was re-elected in a landslide, a Washington Post columnist famously noted her bewilderment about how it had happened, given that she didn't know anyone who had voted for Nixon. Ehh...McGovern didn't even win his home state. 

The Republican right wing has successfully forged a coalition among three large groups, one of which is quietly helping the Republican Party masquerade as today's majority party. With a massive grassroots strategy funded and partially crafted by the Koch Brothers, the Republican Party methodically made its case for individual liberty to local political races nationwide. The result has been local control in a majority of states, the kind of control that nearly paid off with a reversal of the results of the last Presidential election. 

They forged the three-pronged coalition with a fear-based narrative: "They'll take away your liberty if you don't act now." The "they" in their narrative were the One World collectivists seeking a socialist society. 

That fear was easy to instill in two of the three groups the Republicans now control, the proclaimed White supremacists (who are, after all, called Proud Boys) and the ultra-gullible elderly. Maddening as those large populations may be, even together they're not large enough to achieve either popular or electoral victories. 

The Republican solution? Appeal to the "silent" young professionals with a narrative that says, in code, "Hey, we know you're not racist, but they are trying to blame you and hold you accountable for what your ancestors did." 

Sadly, there's some truth in that coded message. Progressive messaging tends toward the finger-wagging, moral high ground approach that says "We're so obviously right and our opponents are too stupid to see it." If the opponents are so stupid, how is it that they're able to so easily hijack every bit of Progressive narrative and "own the libs?" 

The Republicans are employing a misdirection strategy that's winning in the Court of Public Opinion. While "kitchen table" issues like prices and supply chains being a total mess, Progressives are being suckered into "culture wars" on the right-wing media outlets. 

Day after day we see evidence through mainstream and social media that the "but we're the righteous ones" positioning isn't winning in the political arena. A good start toward reversing that trend might be for the Progressive wing to stop condemning the Moderates who actually swing elections and recognize what it will take to win the tug-of-war between the polarized factions. 

The USS America is Listing

For most of the time since World War II, American presidential politics has been a matter of adjusting our rudder, making sure our republic plots a steady course, averting potential hazards that threaten smooth sailing. 

In mostly eight-year cycles, the two major political parties have been captained by leaders characterized by compassion, fairness, and calm, the latter of which is needed now more than ever. If things tilted too far in one direction, there was a counter-balancing adjustment to the course. 

Consider Reagan-O’Neill and Clinton-Gingrich. Occasional choppy waters? Sure. But nothing that a rational, reasoned assessment of the overall situation couldn’t overcome. 

But lately we’ve been taking on water. 

The hard pulls of inflamed political rhetoric in the past two election cycles have us scrambling to regain and maintain equilibrium. We can hope that the political travails Joe Biden is suffering early in his term are an indicator that we may stop bailing water soon. The past two skippers of the USS America have consecutively allowed hyperactive shipmates to overload the port and starboard sides, virtually ignoring the need for weight amidships. 

You know … the middle. Our seemingly dwindling middle. The grounded center whose voice had been muted until the incumbent president learned the same lesson in his 2020 campaign that his opponent did in 2016, that ignoring the middle is a bad idea. 

Obama certainly had calm in abundance. He was the “chill” president who also showed plenty of compassion. Yet in the fairness department, the Clinton ‘16 campaign projected an attitude of “we know what’s best for you, the little people.” And while “we, the people” appreciate the reality of top-down, we don’t care much for talking down. 

Trump saw that and capitalized with that time-honored populist tool - “I hear you.” His “I’m on your side” message was the same as Bernie’s, but it resonated most strongly in the states and specific districts that HRC took for granted. We, the people, don’t care for that much either. 

Which is why it was astonishing in 2020 that the Trump campaign had a total blind spot to the voter profile of the Atlanta suburbs, what I’ll suggest was the most telling voter group of the entire election. How could the Trump campaign miss what Stacey Abrams could see plain as day? That tens of thousands of new residents, many of them center-right professionals, often interracial couples, were invading the Atlanta suburbs every week. 

Yet the best the Trump campaign could offer up was an appeal to a pickup-driving, gun-toting, Confederate flag-waving “base” that those suburbanites could not even begin to resonate with. Can you say “race?” And as a result, voters resisting the extreme messaging either sat it out or voted for Biden. 

Despite that obvious blunder, Trump returns to CPAC as if he’s the conquering hero - but hero of what? There is no political excuse whatsoever for the Republicans having lost the Senate. Even the most lightly moderated message to Georgia voters would have retained the seats lost in the runoff. 

So, hey, you actual Republicans! If you feel it’s best to continue your voyage on the sinking ship USS Trumpkin … well, happy landings on that next iceberg. Meanwhile, many of us will be looking for signs of ballast from both port and starboard.

 

Say "thanks" to the "essential workers" in your life

Here's a tip about a tip. It's a small gesture on my part, and it's only applicable if, like me, you have the means to do it. 

But that "essential worker" that you encounter in your drive-thru food experience? Well, at risk of sounding a tiny bit political, I'll just say it's "interesting" that amid COVID we're OK with declaring so many minimum wage workers as "essential." 

So here's what I like to do. When my yummy food is handed through the window, I like to hand back a $5 bill or even a $10 along with a sincere "thank you" for that person's "essential" service. 

Their smile of sincere thanks is way worth it.  

Who Declared the Culture War? Who's Fighting It? Who Cares?

 Gotta confess ... I'm a sucker for populist rhetoric. 

But if ever there was an illustration of how populist rhetoric can translate to a huge letdown on the fulfillment end, it was the '16 election. 

In Bernie and Trump, you had essentially the same "populist disruptor" campaign with differing ideological tilts. Both were based on wooing the voters who felt their voices weren't being heard. As we've seen, the "angry old white people" side of the argument held sway ... in just enough "persuadable" swing state districts. 

November 2016 marked the amplification of the so-called "culture wars." How do we know war has been declared? Because the Hannity Gang says so. But is '16 when warfare began? Probably not. 

In '08 we were jubilant, for good reason, that we elected our first African American president. Good for us! And good for Barack, too, as he was honored with a Nobel Prize without even breaking a sweat in his first year. Hmm...trouble brewing. 

In the 2012 campaign, Mitt Romney got caught telling the truth to a fundraiser crowd when he noted that 47% of folks had their minds made up on both sides, so it's time to work on the middle. Apparently the truth does not always set you free, as a perfectly plausible moderate Republican candidate failed to win enough hearts and minds. 

Through Obama II, the Progressive Left got drunk with its (perceived) power and heightened its platform of "pay attention...we know what's best for you." The result was the sluggish Dem campaign in '16 that was outfoxed by perhaps the sharpest marketing mind in the history of presidential politics. 

But while he exerted massive authoritarian power in the first three years of his term, The Donald and his team apparently ignored or forgot that he had a 47% ceiling, a truism proved again in November 2020. 

Oh, but wait ... back to the war, the great Culture War matching The Working Class vs. the Intellectual Elites. Regrettably, the highest number of casualties are among the sensible Moderates in the middle who are drowned out by the shrill extremist voices on both ends. 

On the Left, do the Progressives really think that most people want to cancel out George Washington and Abraham Lincoln? Skip right past gender-neutral and go to genderless society? Or forgive the debts of people positioned to earn higher wages than "essential workers?" Ehh, maybe not so much. 

But when faced with a choice between that and gun-toting, Confederate flag-waving militants, the masses swarming into the Atlanta suburbs, which should have been fertile ground for traditional Republicanism, made the more rational choice. And that's how a traditional Red state swings over to the Blue column. 

So as the war rages on, do traditional Republicans honestly think there are enough Proud Boys to hike the Trumpkin ceiling beyond 47%? Apparently they must, as they continue their cowardly kow-tow to the man who sold The Big Lie. 

The Boss Sends a Message to the Voiceless Middle

When it comes to idol worship, I resolutely confine mine to entertainers in industries like sports, publishing, and music. At the same time, I equally resolve to limit my favorite political leaders to mere admiration, not idolatry.

So when The Boss, with the support of an auto manufacturer, sent a message to those of us in the middle, I paid rapt attention as others tuned out as soon as he referred to a desolate spot in Kansas as the heart of the nation.

I recognized the voice; I remembered his heart; I knew where his message was headed.

You see, those of us in the middle, the ones with the quiet and too-often unheard voices, demonstrated in November our grounding rod value. The obvious sign is that we rejected the cultish authoritarian approach of the former leader. The not-so-obvious was the rejection of authoritarianism at the other end of the spectrum.

Just as the former president’s dull-witted son-in-law didn’t recognize the Republican-leaning voters in the Atlanta suburbs, the Progressives didn’t recognize the middle class Moderates, and still don’t, as Democrat-leaning voters. As a result, that unlikely cabal of “leaners” spoke forcefully to both wings.

And you know what? The wings still are not listening!

Huge numbers of Republicans still quake in fear of the authoritarian who managed to be the only single-term president since Hoover to lose the popular vote twice, lose the White House, lose the Senate, and lose the House. Wow, what a strong track record, right!?

Meanwhile, the Progressives haven’t caught on that declaring war on Moderates was and is a foolish political play. As a case in point, Progressives may perform admirably as legislators, but immaturity in the larger political arena only fuels the right-wingers. Burning Portland and cancelling Washington and Lincoln are not good looks for the Democratic Party.

Biden seemed to be the only one not pandering to either extreme.

So here’s an alert to both worn-out major parties.

Dems: While you were distracted, the Rs stole the working class away from you. Please recognize that economic policy planks that move the needle for the middle class do more for racial justice and equity than the tantrums of young white libs begging for acknowledgement of how much they care, all the while appropriating, and diluting, legitimate causes. (Yikes! A 44-word sentence!)  

Republicans: It’s much simpler. A commercial real estate guy hijacked your party – so take it back! If you don’t … well, don’t bother knocking.

Oh, and by the way … maybe I need to check on whether Jeep makes an SUV hybrid. 

Discernment is Unacceptable in Authoritarianism

Sadly, the so-called "culture war" has invaded my neighborhood. The events of recent months - and especially recent weeks - haven't divided us, they're only magnified why we're divided. 

It comes down to acceptance of The Big Lies. By definition, authoritarianism works when a large enough number of followers knowingly accepts the lies of the leader and then disbelieves all others. So when an authoritarian leader, immediately following the November election, declares to his followers that they cannot trust the Vice President, the Attorney General, the Supreme Court, dozens of Republican-appointed judges, Republican governors and secretaries of state -- and those are just the Republicans! -- an insurrection can be both shocking and unsurprising at the same time. 

And that, sadly, is why relationships with family members and friends are now fractured. For weeks I've tried to come to terms with how to interact with neighbors and family members who hold these beliefs: 

1. The former president is deserving of our loyalty. 
2. The election was fraudulent and should be overturned. 
3. The COVID virus is a hoax. 
4. The Capitol insurrection was justified. 

These are just the main beliefs of staunch supporters of the former president. There are more (including the neighbor who "reported" to me that his "news source" said the Capitol incident was fake and that it didn't actually happen). 

Some of these previously friendly people try to claim that they believe in some, but not all, of the Top 4 Big Lies. What I can't come to terms with is that if #1 is a belief, then you're accepting the others. I shake my head at the hypocrisy of on one hand buying into the "virus hoax" narrative and at the same time eagerly awaiting your vaccine so you can travel to your second home. 

So I'll keep praying (because I'm also a Christian and I also happen to vote) that we'll return to our sensibilities and that actual Republicans will ultimately prevail. 

Digital literacy for older adults is a two-edged sword

Apparently the efforts to enlighten older adults can cut both ways. 

Perhaps in reaction to being branded irrelevant and out-of-step, many older adults have received, under the banner of "digital literacy," technical education about using modern technology tools ... which should be a really good thing, right? 

Well, sorta. 

Unfortunately, our educational efforts have focused primarily, if not exclusively, on the tech side of the equation, meaning that throngs of older adults are flocking to an array of online "news" sites. 

Which brings us to the missing element of digital literacy - discernment. As a result, in the excitement of their expanded horizons, many are being fooled by the slick, persuasive "chatter" of self-anointed "analysts" who "tell it like it really is" - except for when it's not. 

On a recent walk in my neighborhood, a kindly gentleman - a long-retired professor- "reported" to me that his favorite news source told him that the Capitol insurrection didn't really happen. Even worse, he and his wife (a former educator) have misinformation inculcated into their belief system. 

Trying to have a rational discussion in that context is a tough test for a journalism undergrad who has studied mass communication and public opinion. I hope that all with greater discernment skills can be patient and helpful in the other crucial element of digital literacy.